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State of the Climate
Global Analysis
February 2004

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Climatic Data Center


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Global Analysis Report
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Global Analysis Report


Global Highlights:

  • Based on preliminary data for December 2003 - February 2004, global average combined land and sea surface temperature was third warmest on record, and fourth warmest for February 2004
  • December - February temperatures were much above average throughout much of western and central Asia as well as parts of Canada with below average temperatures in northern Australia, Mexico and the eastern U.S.
  • Precipitation during December - February was above average across most of Europe, the Great Plains of the U.S. and northern Australia with drier than average conditions in Ireland, the eastern U.S. and Argentina
  • Near-normal SSTs across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific basin are indicative of neutral ENSO conditions.
 

Contents of this Section:

This is a break in the document The data presented in this report are preliminary. Ranks and anomalies may change as more complete data are received and processed. The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page. This is a break in the document

Top of Page Introduction

The two maps below use anomalies that were calculated from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) data set of land surface stations using a 1961-1990 base period. Both maps indicate above average temperatures in the central U.S., most of Europe and Japan while cooler than average temperatures occurred in northern Australia and northern Argentina during winter and February 2004.

The mean position of upper level ridges of high pressure and troughs of low pressure (depicted by positive and negative 500 millibar height anomalies during February 2004 and December-February) are generally reflected by areas of positive and negative temperature anomalies at the surface, respectively. For all Global map products see the Climate Monitoring Global Products page.
Click here for current month's Temperature Dot map
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Click here for seasonal Temperature Dot map
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February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
Global
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+1.08°C (+1.94°F)
+0.43°C (+0.77°F)
+0.62°C (+1.12°F)
5th warmest
2nd warmest
4th warmest
1998 (+0.1.61°C/2.90°F)
1998 (+0.53°C/0.95°F)
1998 (+0.85°C/1.53°F)
Northern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+1.19°C (+2.14°F)
+0.44°C (+0.79°F)
+0.74°C (+1.33°F)
7th warmest
2nd warmest
5th warmest
2002 (+2.01°C/3.62°F)
1998 (+0.55°C/1.00°F)
1998 (+1.10°C/1.98°F)
Southern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.38°C (+0.68°F)
+0.47°C (+0.85°F)
+0.45°C (+0.81°F)
15th warmest
5th warmest
4th warmest
1983 (+0.90°C/1.62°F)
1998 (+0.56°C/1.01°F)
1983 (+0.61°C/1.10°F)

Click here for Global Land and Ocean Triad plot
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Click here for Global Hemisphere Triad plot
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December-February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
Global
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.89°C (+1.60°F)
+0.44°C (+0.79°F)
+0.57°C (+1.03°F)
5th warmest
2nd warmest
3rd warmest
2002 (+1.08°C/1.94°F)
1998 (+0.56°C/1.01°F)
1998 (+0.71°C/1.28°F)
Northern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.98°C (+1.77°F)
+0.48°C (+0.86°F)
+0.68°C (+1.22°F)
5th warmest
2nd warmest
3rd warmest
2002 (+1.34°C/2.41°F)
1998 (+0.56°C/1.01°F)
1998 (+0.79°C/1.42°F)
Southern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.53°C (+0.95°F)
+0.43°C (+0.77°F)
+0.45°C (+0.81°F)
7th warmest
7th warmest
5th warmest
1983 (+0.74°C/1.33°F)
1998 (+0.57°C/1.03°F)
1998 (+0.60°C/1.08°F)

Click here for Global Land and Ocean Triad plot
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Click here for Global Hemisphere Triad plot
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January-February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
Global
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.92°C (+1.66°F)
+0.43°C (+0.77°F)
+0.58°C (+1.04°F)
5th warmest
2nd warmest
3rd warmest
2002 (+1.47°C/2.65°F)
1998 (+0.53°C/0.95°F)
1998 (+0.75°C/1.35°F)
Northern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+1.00°C (+1.80°F)
+0.47°C (+0.85°F)
+0.68°C (+1.22°F)
5th warmest
2nd warmest
5th warmest
2002 (+1.91°C/3.44°F)
1998 (+0.55°C/1.00°F)
2002 (+0.97°C/1.75°F)
Southern Hemisphere
Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean
+0.53°C (+0.95°F)
+0.44°C (+0.79°F)
+0.46°C (+0.83°F)
6th warmest
6th warmest
5th warmest
1983 (+0.76°C/1.37°F)
1998 (+0.55°C/1.00°F)
1998 (+0.58°C/1.04°F)

Click here for Global Land and Ocean Triad plot
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Click here for Global Hemisphere Triad plot
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The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.

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Top of Page Precipitation

The maps below represent anomaly values based on the GHCN data set of land surface stations using a base period of 1961-1990. The map to the left is precipitation anomalies measured in millimeters, the map to the right is the percentage of average (1961-1990) precipitation. During December - February 2004, much above average precipitation fell across the Mississippi Valley in the U.S., eastern Europe and Indonesia. Below average precipitation was observed in Iberian Peninsula, Ireland and India.
Click here for Precipitation Dot map in Millimeters
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Click here for Percent Precipitation Dot map
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Top of Page ENSO SST Analysis

Click Here for the last week of the month's ENSO condtions Map
Click here for animated loop
  • Sea surface temperatures were near-normal over much of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (as shown in the adjacent animation of weekly sea surface temperature anomalies). A consensus of indices suggest neutral ENSO conditions. A comprehensive summary of February 2004 ENSO conditions can be found on the ENSO monitoring page. For the latest advisory on ENSO conditions go to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and the CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion
  • Images of sea surface temperature conditions are available for all months to date during 2004 at the weekly SST page

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Top of PageTroposphere

Current Month   Seasonal
The tables below contain mid-tropospheric conditions for February 2004 and December - February. These temperatures are for the atmospheric layer centered in the mid-troposphere (approximately 2-6 miles above the Earth's surface) but also includes a portion of the lower stratosphere. (The MSU channel used to measure mid-tropospheric temperatures receives about 25 percent of its signal above 6 miles.) Analysis of the satellite record that began in 1979 indicates that global temperatures are increasing in the mid-troposphere, but the magnitude of the trend differs based on the analysis methods used in adjusting for factors such as orbital decay and inter-satellite differences. The 1979-2004 trend for December-February is 0.03°C/decade based on data from the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH) and 0.13°C/decade on data provided by Remote Sensing Systems (RSS). The base period used in both data sets is 1979-1998.
February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
UAH mid-troposphere +0.17°C (+0.31°F) 6th warmest 1998 (+0.65°C/1.17°F)
RSS mid-troposphere +0.30°C (+0.54°F) 4th warmest 1998 (+0.70°C/1.26°F)


Click here for UAH mid-trop image
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Click here for RSS mid-trop image
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December-February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
UAH mid-troposphere +0.20°C (+0.36°F) 4th warmest 1998 (+0.44°C/0.79°F)
RSS mid-troposphere +0.32°C (+0.58°F) 3rd warmest 1998 (+0.48°C/0.86°F)


Click here for UAH mid-trop image
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Click here for RSS mid-trop image
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Top of PageStratosphere

Current Month   Seasonal
The tables below display stratospheric conditions for February 2004 and December - February. The stratosphere is located between 10-14 miles above the Earth's surface. Over the past two decades, stratospheric temperatures have been decreasing in large part due to the depletion of ozone. The large increase in temperature in 1982 was caused by the volcanic eruption of El Chichon in Mexico, and the increase in 1991 is a result of the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines. The base period used in both data sets is 1979-1990.
February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
UAH stratosphere -0.68°C (-1.22°F) 26th coolest 1983 (+1.17°C/2.10°F)
RSS stratosphere -0.68°C (-1.22°F) 25th coolest 1983 (+1.10°C/1.98°F)


Click here for UAH lower-strat image
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Click here for RSS lower-strat image
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December-February Anomaly Rank Warmest Year on Record
UAH stratosphere -0.63°C (-1.13°F) 22nd coolest 1983 (+1.20°C/2.16°F)
RSS stratosphere -0.64°C (-1.15°F) 23rd coolest 1983 (+1.10°C/1.98°F)


Click here for UAH lower-strat image
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Click here for RSS lower-strat image
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Mid-tropospheric and lower stratospheric temperature data are collected by NOAA's TIROS-N polar-orbiting satellites and adjusted for time-dependent biases by NASA and the Global Hydrology and Climate Center at the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH). An independent analysis is also performed by Remote Sensing Systems (RSS).


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  For additional details on precipitation and temperatures in February, see the Global Hazards page .

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References:

Peterson, T.C. and R.S. Vose, 1997: An Overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network Database. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2837-2849.


Questions?

For questions on technical or scientific content of this report, please contact:

Ahira Sánchez-Lugo:
Ahira.Sanchez-Lugo@noaa.gov

For general climate monitoring questions, please contact:

CMB.Contact@noaa.gov

For climate data orders, please contact the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Services and Monitoring Division:

NCDC.Orders@noaa.gov

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