Holocene Carbon-cycle Dynamics
Based on CO2 Trapped in Ice at Taylor Dome, Antarctica
A. Indermühle*, T. F. Stocker*, F. Joos*, H. Fischer˛, H. J. Smith˛, M. Wahlen˛, B. Deck˛, D. Mastroianni˛, J. Tschumi*,
T. Blunier*, R. Meyer* & B. Stauffer*
* Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
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Published: © 1999, Macmillan Magazines Ltd
Nature, Vol. 398, 11 March 1999
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A high-resolution ice-core record of atmospheric CO2 concentration over the Holocene epoch shows that the global carbon cycle has not been in steady state during the past 11,000 years. Analysis of the CO2 concentration and carbon stable-isotope records, using a one-dimensional carbon-cycle model, suggests that changes in terrestrial biomass and sea surface temperature were largely responsible for the observed millennial-scale changes of atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
Figure 1: (below)
CO2 concentrations and stable-isotope ratios, Taylor Dome. a, CO2 concentrations. Open diamonds and triangles, mean CO2 concentration. Error bars,1 sigma of the mean. Solid line, spline fit48 of the CO2 results used as input for the single and double deconvolution. This spline fit method acts as a low-pass filter; parameters were selected to obtain a cut-off period of about 8,000 yr which is consistent with the low resolution of the delta13C record. b, Measured and calculated delta13C. Filled circles, delta13C values. Error bars, estimate of the reproducibility of the delta13C values. Solid line and shaded area, input values of delta13C for the Monte Carlo simulation. Dashed line, delta13C calculated with the single deconvolution31 (land-biosphere-only hypothesis, h1; see text).
Comparison of our hypotheses. Dashed lines, land-biosphere-only hypothesis (h1). Solid lines, land biota-SST hypothesis (h2). The shaded areas indicate the 1 sigma confidence interval of a Monte Carlo analysis, taking into account the uncertainty of the ice-core data. Dash-dotted lines, land biota-calcite hypothesis (h3). a, Ocean uptake. b, Cumulative biospheric release. c, Required change in SST.
NOAA Paleoclimatology Program / WDC-A for Paleoclimatology
29 March 99