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Cache La Poudre at Canyon Mouth back to Streamflow Reconstructions

Gage record source NCWCD
Calibration/validation 1906 - 1999
Full reconstruction 1615 - 1999
Predictor chronologies PUM, OWU, GMR, EFU, RED, BEN, JOP, BTU
Explained variance
63.7%
Download data
Time-series graphs
  Calibration/validation
Full Reconstruction
Sample Depth
Validation statistics

 

Graph of gaged and reconstructed streamflow

Gaged (blue) and reconstructed (green) records over the calibration/validation period (1906-1999).

 

Graph of reconstructed streamflow

Full reconstruction (1615-1999), with annual values (green) and a 5-year weighted mean.

 

Graph of sample depth

Total sample depth (typically, two series per tree) for the reconstruction.

 

Validation Statistics

(See Case Study for detailed explanation)

 
  Rcal Rval
calibration model 0.798  
PRESS validation   0.750
 
  R2cal RE(val) R2bias

calibration model

 0.637    
PRESS validation   0.560  
LNN validation 0.635   0.572
 
 

standard error of estimate

 RMSE
calibration model 63.55  
PRESS validation   66.46

 

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NOAA Paleoclimatology Branch

Last Updated: 10 Feb 05