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Clear Creek at Golden back to Streamflow Reconstructions


Calibration/validation 1912 - 1987
Full reconstruction 1635 - 1987
Predictor chronologies DIL, BTU, COD, EAG, MON, PAR, GOU, JAM
Explained variance
75.2%
Download data
Time-series graphs
  Calibration/validation
Full Reconstruction
Sample Depth
Validation statistics

 

Graph of gaged and reconstructed streamflow

Gaged (blue) and reconstructed (green) records over the calibration/validation period (1912-1987).

 

Graph of reconstructed streamflow

Full reconstruction (1635-1987), with annual values (green) and a 5-year weighted mean.

 

Graph of sample depth

Total sample depth (typically, two series per tree) for the reconstruction.

 

Validation Statistics

(See Case Study for detailed explanation)

 
  Rcal Rval
calibration model 0.867  
PRESS validation   0.828
 
  R2cal RE(val) R2bias

calibration model

0.752    
PRESS validation   0.684  
LNN validation 0.759   0.704
 
 

standard error of estimate

RMSE
calibration model 25808  
PRESS validation   27323

 


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NOAA Paleoclimatology Branch

Last Updated: 10 Feb 05