Hypothesized Climate Forcing Time Series
for the Last 500 Years

tropospheric aerosol map Hypothesized Climate Forcing Time Series
for the Last 500 Years

Journal of Geophysical Research,
v.106, No. D14, pp. 14,783-14,803, July 27, 2001

A. Robertson1, J. Overpeck, D. Rind, E. Mosley-Thompson,
G. Zielinski, J. Lean, D.Koch, J.Penner, I. Tegen, and R. Healy

1-Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research
University of Colorado, Boulder

ABSTRACT:
A new compilation of annually resolved time series of atmospheric trace gas concentrations, solar irradiance, tropospheric aerosol optical depth, and stratospheric (volcanic) aerosol optical depth is presented for use in climate modeling studies of the period 1500 to 1999 A.D. Atmospheric CO2, CH4, and N2O concentrations over this period are well established on the basis of fossil air trapped in ice cores and instrumental measurements over the last few decades. Estimates of solar irradiance, ranging between 1364.2 and 1368.2 W/m2, are presented using calibrated historical observations of the Sun back to 1610, along with cosmogenic isotope variations extending back to 1500. Tropospheric aerosol distributions are calculated by scaling the modern distribution of sulfate and carbonaceous aerosol optical depths back to 1860 using reconstructed regional CO2 emissions; prior to 1860 the anthropogenic tropospheric aerosol optical depths are assumed to be zero. Finally, the first continuous, annually dated record of zonally averaged stratospheric (volcanic) optical depths back to 1500 is constructed using sulfate flux data from multiple ice cores from both Greenland and Antarctica, in conjunction with historical and instrumental (satellite and pyrheliometric) observations. The climate forcings generated here are currently being used as input to a suite of transient (time dependent) paleoclimate model simulations of the past 500 years. These forcings are also available for comparison with instrumental and proxy paleoclimate data of the same period.

Data:
Trace gases (annually and globally averaged concentrations of CO2, CH4, and N2O).
Regional emissions: (CO2 emissions for 9 regions, standardized to 1990 values)
VAI: Volcanic (stratospheric) aerosol optical depth , 4 latitude resolution

Lean et al. 1995 solar irradiance reconstruction

Modern tropospheric aerosols
(Lat/Long arrays of optical depth):
Anthropogenic sulfate (from Koch et al. 1999)
Natural sulfate (from Koch et al. 1999)
Natural mineral dust (from Tegen et al., 1997)
Anthropogenic carbon (from Liousse et al. 1996)

Regional definitions (modified from Marland et al. 1994) for the regional scaling of tropospheric aerosols
Data description

To read or view the full study, please visit the American Geophysical Union website.
It was published in Journal of Geophysical Research, v.106, No. D14, pp. 14,783-14,803, July 27, 2001.


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8 August 2001