The ring width of a tree is an example of a proxy for temperature, or in some cases rainfall, because the thickness of the annual ring is sensitive to the temperature and/or rainfall of that year. The most valuable proxies are those that can provide numerical values of temperature or rainfall amount, along with estimates of their uncertainty. Proxies that cannot be quantified in terms of climate variables are less precise because the magnitude of climate change cannot be determined.
A key step in the study of abrupt climate change is to date the samples. For natural archives with clear annual layers, such as trees and some ice and sediment cores, it is possible to count the layers back in time. Another useful method for many natural climate recorders is to measure radioactive isotopes such as radiocarbon (14C) whose decay forms a precise clock marking long intervals of time.
If we know the time between different samples and the magnitude of change observed in the proxy, we can calculate the rate of change. Uncertainties in the climate reconstruction from proxies and uncertainties in proxy dating are the main reasons that abrupt climate change is one of the more difficult topics to study in the field of paleoclimatology.
For more on how different types of proxies can provide insights into past climatic and environmental conditions, see the summary of Paleo Proxy Data.
Downloaded Tuesday, 25-Oct-2016 18:48:18 EDT
Last Updated Wednesday, 20-Aug-2008 11:21:31 EDT by email@example.com
Please see the Paleoclimatology Contact Page or the NCDC Contact Page if you have questions or comments.