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Climate of 2005 - October
U.S. Regional Drought Watch


National Climatic Data Center, 8 November 2005
Global Analysis / Global Hazards / United States / U.S. Drought / National Drought Overview / Extremes
Use these links to access detailed analyses of Global and U.S. data.

Regional Drought Overview / Additional Contacts / Questions


Top of Page Regional Overview

October 2005 was much drier than normal across a broad swath of the country from the Great Lakes to the Deep South, with 12 percent of the contiguous U.S. very dry (in the bottom 10th percentile of the historical record). Parts of the West were also drier than normal. Record wet October precipitation ended the dryness in the Northeast.
Map showing Palmer Z Index

The October precipitation pattern at the primary stations in Alaska was drier than average in the southeast (north of the panhandle), and mixed elsewhere. Across Hawaii, the precipitation pattern was mixed, with more stations drier than average than wetter. In Puerto Rico, the precipitation signal was also mixed, based on National Weather Service radar estimates of precipitation. October streamflow averaged wetter than normal for Puerto Rico and the Hawaiian Islands.
Map showing 9-month Standardized Precipitation Index

The October dryness aggravated long-term drought in the southern Plains to Lower Great Lakes (2 to 6 to 9 months). Long-term moisture deficits (last 24 to 36 to 60 months) persisted across parts of the West into the northern High Plains and central Plains.
Map showing Current Month Palmer Hydrological Drought Index

Some regional highlights:
  • Several states had the tenth driest, or drier, month in October and also for multi-month seasons (May-October and others). These states include:
  • Several stations in the Great Lakes and Deep South had record or near record dry conditions.
  • During October, several counties in northeast Texas were declared disaster areas by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Dropping well levels and below normal rainfall prompted the Barton Springs/Edwards Aquifer Conservation District's board to declare a stage one drought alert for the Barton Springs segment of the Edwards Aquifer in Texas. The Buda and San Leanna monitor wells fell below their stage one trigger levels with ground water levels in other area wells also declining.
  • By the end of the month, 60% or more of the pasture and range land was in poor to very poor condition in Arizona (60%), Arkansas (63%), Louisiana (76%), California (84%), and Mississippi (85%). Relative to "normal", pastures and range land were anomalously dry across much of the South to Great Lakes, and parts of the West.
  • End-of-month and month-averaged soil moisture conditions were drier than normal across a broad swath from the southern Plains and Southeast to the central Plains and Great Lakes, and parts of the interior mid-Atlantic states, Pacific Northwest, and Rockies, based on model computations (CPC-1, CPC-2, MRCC). The models also indicated dry soil moisture conditions in parts of Alaska, and near the surface and at depth from Iowa to the western Great Lakes.
  • According to end-of-October USDA observations, more than 50 percent of the topsoil moisture was rated short to very short (dry to very dry) across the Deep South to the southern Rockies, and parts of the Ohio Valley to Great Lakes and Pacific Northwest states. This is drier than the 5-year and 10-year averages across much of the area.
  • Streamflow levels were below seasonal norms across much of the Deep South to Great Lakes states, and parts of the Pacific Northwest, central Plains, and northern Rockies, as computed by models and based on USGS observations.
These overall conditions are evident in the following indicators:

A detailed review of drought and moisture conditions is available for all contiguous U.S. states and the nine climatological regions:
REGIONS:
Northwest West North Central East North Central
Northeast Central Southeast
South Southwest West
Map showing the nine U.S. standard regions
STATES:
Alabama Arizona Arkansas
California Colorado Connecticut
Delaware Florida Georgia
Idaho Illinois Indiana
Iowa Kansas Kentucky
Louisiana Maine Maryland
Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota
Mississippi Missouri Montana
Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire
New Jersey New Mexico New York
North Carolina North Dakota Ohio
Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania
Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota
Tennesee Texas Utah
Vermont Virginia Washington
West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming


Map showing Percent of Normal Precipitation


Graph showing Western U.S. Percent Area in Moderate to Extreme Drought


Top of Page Additional Contacts:

Damage due to the drought has been summarized by NOAA and the Office of Global Programs in the Climatological Impacts section of the Climate Information Project. Crop impact information can be found at the USDA NASS (National Agricultural Statistics Service) and Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin pages. Drought statements by local National Weather Service Offices can be found at the NWS Hydrologic Information Center. Drought threat assessments and other information can be found at NOAA's Drought Information Center. Additional drought information can be found at the National Drought Mitigation Center, the USDA's National Agricultural Library, the interim National Drought Council, and the NOAA Paleoclimatology Program. The following states have set up web pages detailing current drought conditions and/or their plans to handle drought emergencies:

Arkansas - Colorado - Delaware - Delaware River Basin (DE-NJ-NY-PA) - Florida Panhandle - Georgia - Idaho - Kentucky - Maine - Maryland - Missouri-1 - Missouri-2 - Montana - New Jersey-1 - New Jersey-2 - New Mexico - Oklahoma-1 - Oklahoma-2 - Pennsylvania-1 - Pennsylvania-2 - South Carolina - Texas - Vermont - Virginia

For additional information on current and past wildfire seasons please see the National Interagency Fire Center web site or the U.S. Forest Service Fire and Aviation web site.

NCDC's Drought Recovery Page shows the precipitation required to end or ameliorate droughts and the probability of receiving the required precipitation.
Additional climate monitoring graphics can be found at the Climate Prediction Center's monitoring pages:
Precipitation and modeled soil moisture anomaly maps for the Midwest U.S. can be found at the Midwest Regional Climate Center's monitoring page.
Drought conditions on the Canadian prairies can be found at the Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Drought Watch page.


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  • For all climate questions other than questions concerning this report, please contact the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Services Division:

    Climate Services Division
    NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
    151 Patton Avenue
    Asheville, NC 28801-5001
    fax: 828-271-4876
    phone: 828-271-4800
    email: ncdc.info@noaa.gov

  • For further information on the historical climate perspective presented in this report, contact:

    Richard Heim
    NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
    151 Patton Avenue
    Asheville, NC 28801-5001
    fax: 828-271-4328
    email: Richard.Heim@noaa.gov

    -or-

    Jay Lawrimore
    NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
    151 Patton Avenue
    Asheville, NC 28801-5001
    fax: 828-271-4328
    email: Jay.Lawrimore@noaa.gov
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Graphic showing NOAA logo NCDC / Climate Mon. / Climate-2005 / Oct / U.S. Drought / Regional / Help