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Click here for graphic showing U.S. Department of Commerce logo and link to site Climate of 2004 - June
Georgia Drought

National Climatic Data Center, 15 July 2004

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Regional Overview / Paleo Perspective

Click here to go to Top of Page Regional Overview

Statewide Precipitation Ranks
for Georgia , 2003-2004
Period Rank
Jun 5th wettest
(105th driest)
May-Jun 30th wettest
( 81st driest)
Apr-Jun 44th wettest
( 66th driest)
Mar-Jun 21st driest
Feb-Jun 34th driest
Jan-Jun 30th driest
Dec-Jun 26th driest
Nov-Jun 25th driest
Oct-Jun 30th driest
Sep-Jun 24th driest
Aug-Jun 26th driest
Jul-Jun 34th driest
Click here for graphic showing  precipitation departures, January 1998 - present
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Click here for graphic showing  Palmer Z Index, January 1998 - present
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Click here for graphic showing  precipitation, June      1895-2004
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Click here for graphic showing  Palmer Hydrological Drought Index, January 1900 - June      2004
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Click here to go to Top of Page Paleoclimatic Perspective

While June 2004 was the fifth wettest June on record for Georgia, the preceding three months were very dry, ranking as the second driest March-May in the 110-year record. Even with June included, the last four months ranked as the 21st driest March-June.

Paleoclimatic data, such as tree-rings, can be used to extend the climate record back several centuries beyond the 110-year instrumental record. Bald cypress tree-ring chronologies were used to reconstruct statewide spring (March-June) precipitation for Georgia (Stahle and Cleaveland, 1992). The tree-ring reconstruction explains 68% of the variance of Georgian precipitation. Reconstructed precipitation extends back to AD 933 and ends in 1985. Smoothed (10-year moving average) reconstructions show a range of variability in both drought intensity and duration over the past millennium. The 20th century part of the reconstruction is characterized by a high degree of variability and less severe droughts of shorter duration than the rest of the record. Two of the most persistent periods of droughts occurred around 1800 and in first half of the 12th century. The drought centered in the 1750s was also severe.

Click here for graph showing Georgia reconstructed March-June precipitation index
large image (60K)

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In the graph to the left, the blue lines are the statewide precipitation for Georgia based on instrumental observations for 1895-2004. The red lines are the reconstructed precipitation based on tree-ring data for the period 933-1985. Both sets of data have been standardized using the mean and standard deviation for the period of record common to both (i.e., 1895-1985) in order to facillitate direct comparison of the different types of data. Negative values are drier than the mean, while positive values are wetter than the mean. The darker thick curves are 10-year moving averages, while the lighter thin lines are the annual values.

Reference:

More information on the Georgia and South Carolina tree-ring chronologies can be found in this publication:

    Stahle, D.W. and M.K. Cleaveland, 1992, "Reconstruction and analysis of rainfall over the southeastern U.S. for the past 1000 years." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 73(12): 1947-1961.

Additional Resources:

These reconstructions are available from the NOAA Paleoclimatology Program web site:


Graphic showing NOAA logo NCDC / Clim. Monitoring / Climate-2004 / Jun / U.S. Regional Drought / Search / Help

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