PUBLIC INFORMATION MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 1130 AM CST TUE JAN 22 2002 HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS... STORAGE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY AT THE FALCON AND AMISTAD RESERVOIRS. THESE TWO RESERVOIRS PROVIDE MUCH THE WATER FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. AMISTAD RESERVOIR HELD 30 PERCENT OF STORAGE CAPACITY. EVEN THOUGH STORAGE HAS INCREASED, LEVELS REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL. STORAGE AT FALCON RESERVOIR IS GREATER THAN IT HAS BEEN SINCE EARLY 2000, BUT STILL HELD ONLY 17 PERCENT OF STORAGE CAPACITY. STORAGE IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS PRE-PLANTING IRRIGATION BEGINS IN THE LOWER VALLEY. FIRE DANGER... THE CURRENT KETCH-BYRAN INDEX OF 200-300 OVER THE AREA INDICATES THAT THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF FIRE DANGER. THE DAILY EVAPORATING RATES ACROSS THE REGION CURRENTLY RANGE FROM 0.15 TO 0.25 OF AN INCH. THE LATEST FREEZE HAS WORSENED THE FIRE DANGER AS IT KILLED QUITE A BIT OF VEGETATION IN THE AREA. GRASS FIRES HAVE BEEN COMMON IN THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS. ADDING TO THE DANGER WILL BE THE DRY CONDITIONS AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION AND NOT TO LEAVE ANY FIRES UNATTENDED. AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... LAND PREPARATION HAS BEGUN FOR PRE-PLANTING. PASTURE CONDITIONS ARE UNDER STRESS. ACCORDING TO THE STATE OF TEXAS DROUGHT PREPAREDNESS COUNCIL "FARMERS AND RANCHERS IN THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY ARE VERY CONCERNED ABOUT THE PROSPECT OF MAKING A CROP IN 2002, AS SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ARE VERY MARGINAL WITH PLANTING SEASON FOR GRAIN CROPS ONLY A MONTH AWAY. IRRIGATION WATER SUPPLIES ARE VERY LOW, AND WATER DISTRICTS ARE EXPECTING AVAILABLE ALLOCATIONS OF IRRIGATION WATER MAY BE EXPENDED WITH PRE-IRRIGATIONS IN FEBRUARY."