Current Publications

NOTE:  “…” indicates 3 or more non-NCDC authors.

2013 Papers and Publications

Anderson, D.M., E. M. Mauk, E. R. Wahl, C. Morrill, A. J. Wagner, D. Easterling, and T. Rutishauser, 2013: Global warming in an independent record of the past 130 years. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 189–193, doi:10.1029/2012GL054271.

Arguez, A., and S. Applequist, 2013: A harmonic approach for calculating daily temperature normals constrained by homogenized monthly temperature normals. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, in press, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00195.1.

Arguez, A., R.S. Vose, and J. Dissen, 2013: Alternative climate normals: Impacts to the energy industry. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 915–917, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00155.1.

Banzon, V.F., and R.W. Reynolds, 2013: Use of WindSat to extend a microwave-based daily optimum interpolation sea surface temperature time series. Journal of Climate, 26, 2557–2562, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00628.1.

Bell, J.E., M.A. Palecki, W.G. Collins, J.H. Lawrimore, R.D. Leeper, M.E. Hall, J. Kochendorfer, T.P. Meyers, T. Wilson, C.B Baker, and H.J. Diamond, 2013: U.S. Climate Reference Network soil moisture and temperature observations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 977–988, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-12-0146.1.

Diamond, H.J., T.R. Karl, M.A. Palecki, C.B. Baker, J.E. Bell, R.D. Leeper, D.R. Easterling, J.H. Lawrimore, T.P. Meyers, M.R. Helfert, G. Goodge, and P.W. Thorne, 2103: U.S. Climate Reference Network after one decade of operations: Status and assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 485–498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00170.

Donat, M.G., L.V. Alexander, H. Yang, I. Durre, R. Vose, and J. Ceasar, 2013: Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, in press, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.

Donat, M.G., L.V. Alexander, H. Yang, I. Durre, R. Vose, …, T.C. Peterson, et al., 2013: Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 2098–2118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50150.

Donat, M.G., T.C. Peterson, et al., 2013: Changes of extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. International Journal of Climatology, Early View, doi:10.1002/joc.3707.

El Fadli, K.I., …, T.C. Peterson, et al., 2013: World Meteorological Organization assessment of the purported world record 58°C temperature extreme at El Azizia, Libya (13 September 1922). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 199–204, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00093.1

Habib, E., L. Qin, D. Seo, G. Ciach, and B. Nelson, 2013: Independent assessment of incremental complexity in NWS multisensor precipitation estimator algorithms. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 18, 143–155, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000638.

Knapp, K.R., J.A. Knaff, C.R. Sampson, G.M. Riggio, and A.D. Schnapp, 2013: A pressure-based analysis of the historical western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity record. Monthly Weather Review, in press, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00323.1.

Kruk, M.C., J.J. Marra, et al., 2013: Pacific Storms Climatology Products (PSCP): Understanding extreme events. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 13–18, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00075.1.

Kunkel, K.E., T.R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J.H. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, …P.Ya.  Groisman, …, T.C. Peterson,…R. Vose, et al., 2013: Monitoring and understanding trends in extreme storms: State of knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 499–514, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00262.1

Kunkel, K.E., T.R. Karl, D.R. Easterling, K. Redmond, J. Young, X. Yin, and P. Hennon, 2013: Probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1402–1408, doi:10.1002/grl.50334.

Lattanzio, A., …, J.J. Bates, K.R. Knapp, Y. Kosaka, and L. Schüller, 2013: Land surface albedo from geostationary satellites: A multi-agency collaboration within SCOPE-CM. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 205–214, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00230.1

Morrill, C., D.M. Anderson, B.A. Bauer, R. Buckner, E.P. Gille, W.S. Gross, M. Hartman, and A. Shah, 2013: Proxy benchmarks for intercomparison of 8.2 ka simulations. Climate of the Past, 9, 423–432, doi:10.5194/cp-9-423-2013.

Morrill, C., A.N. LeGrande, H. Renssen, P. Bakker, and B.L. Otto-Bliesner, 2013: Model sensitivity to North Atlantic freshwater forcing at 8.2 ka. Climate of the Past, 9, 955–968, doi:10.5194/cp-9-955-2013.

PAGES 2k Consortium including: E.R. Wahl, and H. Diaz, 2013: Continental-scale temperature variability during the last two millennia. Nature Geoscience, 6, 339–346, doi:10.1038/ngeo1797.

Palecki, M.A., and J.E. Bell, 2013: U.S. Climate Reference Network soil moisture observations with triple redundancy: Measurement variability. Vadose Zone Journal, 12, doi:10.2136/vzj2012.0158.

Peterson, T.C., R.R. Heim, Jr., …, T.R. Karl, R.W. Katz, K. Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, …, R.S. Vose, et al., 2013: Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods and droughts in the United States: State of knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, 821–834, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00066.1

Prat, O.P., and B.R. Nelson, 2013: Precipitation contribution of tropical cyclones in the southeastern United States from 1998 to 2009 using TRMM satellite data. Journal of Climate, 26, 1047–1062, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00736.1

Schreck III, C.J., L. Shi, J.P. Kossin, and J.J. Bates, 2013: Identifying the MJO, equatorial waves, and their impacts using 32 Years of HIRS upper-tropospheric water vapor. Journal of Climate, 26, 1418–1431, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00034.1

Shah, A., C. Morrill, E. Gille, W. Gross, D.M. Anderson, B. Bauer, R. Buckner, and M. Hartman, 2013: Global speleothem oxygen isotope measurements since the Last Glacial Maximum. Dataset Papers in Geoscience, Article ID 548048, doi:10.7167/2013/548048.

Shein, K.A., et al., 2013: Revisiting the statewide climate extremes for the United States--Evaluating existing extremes, archived data, and new observations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 393–402, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00013.1.

Smith, A.B. and R. Katz, 2013: U.S. Billion-dollar weather and climate disasters: Data sources, trends, accuracy and biases. Natural Hazards, 67, 387–410, doi:10.1007/s11069-013-0566-5.

Trouet, V., H.F. Diaz, E.R. Wahl, A. Viau, R. Graham, N. Graham, and E.R. Cook, 2013: A 1500-year reconstruction of annual mean temperature for temperate North America on decadal-to-multidecadal time scales. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 024008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024008.

Wagner, A., C. Morrill, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, N. Rosenbloom, and K.R. Watkins, 2013: Model support for forcing of the 8.2 ka event by meltwater from the Hudson Bay ice dome. Climate Dynamics, in press, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1706-z.

Willett, K.M., C.N. Williams Jr., R. J.H. Dunn, P.W. Thorne, S. Bell, M. de Podesta, P.D. Jones, and D.E. Parker, 2013: HadISDH: An updateable land surface specific humidity product for climate monitoring. Climate of the Past, 9, 657–677, doi:10.5194/cp-9-657-2013.

Young, A.H., J.J. Bates, and J.A. Curry, 2013: Application of cloud vertical structure from CloudSat to investigate MODIS-derived cloud properties of cirriform, anvil, and deep convective clouds. Journal of Geophysical Research, 118, 4689–4699, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50306.

Zhao, X.-P., P.K. Chan, and A.K. Heidinger, 2013: A global survey of the effect of cloud contamination on the aerosol optical thickness and its long-term trend derived from operational AVHRR satellite observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 2849–2857, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50278.

 

2012 Papers and Publications

Applequist, S., 2012: Wind rose bias correction. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology51, 1305–1309, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-11-0193.1.

Applequist, S., A. Arguez, I. Durre, M.F. Squires, R.S. Vose, and X. Yin, 2012: 1981–2010 U.S. hourly normals. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society93, 1637–1640, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00173.1.

Arguez, A., I. Durre, S. Applequist, R.S. Vose, M.F. Squires, X. Yin, R.R. Heim, Jr., and T.W. Owen, 2012: NOAA’s 1981–2010 U.S. climate normals: An overview. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society93, 1687–1697, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00197.1.

Bates, J.J., and J.L. Privette, 2012: A maturity model for assessing the completeness of climate data Records. EOS, Transactions of the AGU93, 441, doi:10.1029/2012EO440006.

Chandler, R.E., P.W. Thorne, J. Lawrimore, and K. Willett, 2012: Building trust in climate science: Data products for the 21st century. Environmetrics23, 373–381, doi:10.1002/env.2141.

Clark, P.U., … C. Morrill, et al., 2012: Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA109, E1134–E1142, doi:10.1073/pnas.1116619109.

Courtney, J., … T.C. Peterson, et al., 2012: Documentation and verification of the world extreme wind gust record: 113.3 m s-1 on Barrow Island, Australia, during passage of tropical cyclone OliviaAustralian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal62, 1–9. Journal online

Dash, P., … R.W. Reynolds, V. Banzon, et al., 2012: Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature (GHRSST) analysis fields inter-comparisons—Part 2: Near real time web-based level 4 SST Quality Monitor (L4-SQUAM). Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography77-80, 31–43, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.04.002.

Dunn, R.J.H., K.M. Willett, P.W. Thorne, E. Woolley, I. Durre, A. Dai, D.E. Parker, and R.S. Vose, 2012: HadISD: A quality controlled global synoptic report database for selected variables at long-term stations from 1973-2010. Climate of the Past8, 1649–1679, doi:10.5194/cp-8-1649-2012.

Emanuel, K., F. Fondriest, and J. Kossin, 2012: Potential economic value of seasonal hurricane forecasts. Weather, Climate, and Society4, 110–117, doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00017.1.

Evan, A.T., J.P. Kossin, C.E. Chung, and V. Ramanathan, 2012: Reply to "How have tropical storms over the Arabian Sea intensified?”. Nature489, E2–E3, doi:10.1038/nature11471.

Groisman, P.Ya., R.W. Knight, and T.R. Karl, 2012: Changes in intense precipitation over the central United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology13, 47–66, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-039.1.

Guillevic, P.C., J.L. Privette, B. Coudert, M.A. Palecki, et al., 2012: Land surface temperature product validation using NOAA’s surface climate observations networks–Scaling methodology for the Visible Infrared Imager Radiometer Suite (VIIRS). Remote Sensing of Environment124, 282–298, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2012.05.004.

Hu, A., G.A. Meehl, W.Q. Han, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Morrill, Y. Okazaki, and M.O. Chikamoto, 2012: The Pacific-Atlantic seesaw and the Bering Strait. Geophysical Research Letters39, L03702, doi:10.1029/2011GL050567.

Huang, B., Y. Xue, A. Kumar, and D.W. Behringer, 2012: AMOC variations in 1979-2008 simulated by NCEP operational ocean data assimilation system. Climate Dynamics28, 513–525, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1035-z.

Huang, B., Y. Xue, H. Wang, W.Q. Wang, and A. Kumar, 2012: Mixed layer heat budget of the El Niño in NCEP climate forecast system. Climate Dynamics39, 365–381, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1111-4.

Jin, L., F. Chen, C. Morrill, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, and N. Rosenbloom, 2012: Causes of early Holocene desertification in arid central Asia. Climate Dynamics38, 1577–1591, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1086-1.

Karl, T.R., and R.W. Katz, 2012: A new face for climate dice. Proceedings of the National Academy Sciences USA109, 14720–14721, doi:10.1073/pnas.1211721109.

Karl, T.R., B.E. Gleason, M.J. Menne, J.R. McMahon, R.R. Heim Jr., M.J. Brewer, K.E. Kunkel, D.S. Arndt, J.L. Privette, J.J Bates, P. Ya. Groisman, and D.R. Easterling, 2012: U.S. temperature and drought: Recent anomalies and trends. EOS, Transactions of the AGU93, 473-474, doi:10.1029/2012EO470001.

Knapp, K., 2012: Intersatellite bias of the high-resolution infrared radiation sounder water vapor channel determined using ISCCP B1 data. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing6, 063523, doi:10.1117/1.JRS.6.063523.

Kossin, J.P., and M. Sitkowski, 2012: Predicting hurricane intensity and structure changes associated with eyewall replacement cycles. Weather and Forecasting27, 484–488, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-11-00106.1.

Kunkel, K.E., D.R. Easterling, D.A.R. Kristovich, B. Gleason, L. Stoecker, and R. Smith, 2012: Meteorological causes of the secular variations in observed extreme precipitation events for the conterminous United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology13, 1131–1141, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-0108.1.

Li, Y., N. Wang, C. Morrill, D.M. Anderson, et al., 2012: Millennial-scale erosion rates in three inland drainage basins and their controlling factors since the Last Deglaciation, arid China. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology365-366, 263–275.

Liu, Y., X. Zhao, W. Li, and X. Zhou, 2012: Background stratospheric aerosol variations deduced from satellite observations. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology51, 799–812, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-11-016.1.

Lubchenco, J., and T.R. Karl, 2012: Predicting and managing extreme weather events. Physics Today65(3), 31, doi:10.1063/PT.3.1475.

Martin, M., P. Dash, A. Ignatov, V. Banzon, …, R. W. Reynolds, et al., 2012: Group for High Resolution Sea Surface temperature (GHRSST) analysis fields inter-comparisons. Part 1: A GHRSST multi-product ensemble (GMPE). Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography77-80, 21–30, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.04.013.

Menne, M.J., I. Durre, R.S. Vose, B.E. Gleason, and T.G. Houston, 2012: An overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network-Daily database. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology29, 897–910, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00103.1.

Morrissey, M.L., H.J. Diamond, et al., 2012: An investigation of the consistency of TAO-TRITON buoy-mounted capacitance rain gauges. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology29, 834–845, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00171.1.

Ohlwein, C., and E.R. Wahl, 2012: Review of probabilistic pollen-climate transfer methods. Quaternary Science Reviews31, 17–29, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.11.002.

Peduzzi, P., … J. Kossin, F. Mouton, and O. Nordbeck, 2012: Global trends in tropical cyclone risk. Nature Climate Change2, 289–294, doi:10.1038/nclimate1410.

Peterson, T.C., P.A. Stott, and S. Herring, Eds., 2012: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society93, 1041–1067, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1.

Qi, J., T.S. Bobushev, R. Kulmatov, P. Groisman, and G. Gutman, 2012: Addressing global change challenges for Central Asian socio-ecosystems. Frontiers of Earth Science6, 115–121, doi:10.1007/s11707-012-0320-4.

Rozoff, C.M., D.S. Nolan, J.P. Kossin, F. Zhang, and J. Fang, 2012: The roles of an expanding wind field and inertial stability in tropical cyclone secondary eyewall formation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences69, 2621–2643, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-11-0326.1.

Shen, S.S.P., C.K. Lee, and J. Lawrimore, 2012: Uncertainties, trends, and hottest and coldest years of US surface air temperature since 1895: An update based on the USHCN V2 TOB data. Journal of Climate,25, 4185–4203, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00102.1.

Shi, L., G. Peng, and J.J. Bates, 2012: Surface air temperature and humidity from intersatellite-calibrated HIRS measurements in high latitudes. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology29, 3–13, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00024.1.

Sitkowski, M., J.P. Kossin, C.M. Rozoff, and J. Knaff, 2012: Hurricane eyewall replacement cycle thermodynamics and the relict inner eyewall circulation. Monthly Weather Review140, 4035–4045, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00349.1.

Soja, A.J., and P.Ya. Groisman, 2012: Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership Initiative: Evolution of scientific investigations to applicable science. Environmental Research Letters7, 045201, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/045201.

Sun, Y.B., S.C. Clemens, C. Morrill, et al., 2012: Influence of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on the East Asian winter monsoon. Nature Geoscience5, 46–49, doi:10.1038/ngeo1326.

Tang, Q., G. Leng, and P.Ya. Groisman, 2012: European hot summers associated with a reduction of cloudiness. Journal of Climate25, 3637–3644, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00040.1.

Terando, A., W.E. Easterling, K. Keller, and D.R. Easterling, 2012: Observed and modeled twentieth-century spatial and temporal patterns of selected agro-climate indices in North America. Journal of Climate25, 473–490, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4168.1.

Trouet, V., H.F. Diaz, A.E. Viau, and E.R. Wahl, 2012: A pollen-based extension of the 800-year decadal-scale reconstruction of annual mean temperature for temperate North America dating back to 480 AD. PAGES news20, 87–88. PDF online.

Venema, V.K.C., … C.N. Williams, M.J. Menne, et al., 2012: Benchmarking homogenization algorithms for monthly data. Climate of the Past8, 89–115, doi:10.5194/cp-8-89-2012.

Vose, R.S., D. Arndt, V.F. Banzon, D.R. Easterling, B. Gleason, B. Huang, E. Kearns, J.H. Lawrimore, M.J. Menne, T.C. Peterson, R.W. Reynolds, T.M. Smith, C.N. Williams, Jr., and D.L. Wuertz, 2012: NOAA's merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society93, 1677–1685, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00241.1.

Vose, R.S., S. Applequist, M.J. Meene, C.N. Williams Jr., and P.W. Thorne, 2012: An intercomparison of temperature trends in the U.S. Historical Climatology Network and recent atmospheric reanalyses. Geophysical Research Letters39, L10703, doi:10.1029/2012GL051387.

Wahl, E.R., and J.E. Smerdon, 2012: Comparative performance of paleoclimate field and index reconstructions derived from climate proxies and noise-only predictors. Geophysical Research Letters39, L06703, doi:10.1029/2012GL051086. [Correction at doi:10.1029/2012GL052181.]

Wahl, E.R., H.F. Diaz, and C. Ohlwein, 2012: A pollen-based reconstruction of summer temperature in central North America and implications for circulation patterns during medieval times. Global and Planetary Change84-85, 66–74, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.10.005.

Wahl, E.R., H.F. Diaz, V. Trouet, and E.R. Cook, 2012: An 800-year decadal-scale reconstruction of annual mean temperature for temperate North America. PAGES news20, 86–87. PDF online.

Williams, C.N., M.J. Menne, and P.W. Thorne, 2012: Benchmarking the performance of pairwise homogenization of surface temperatures in the United States. Journal of Geophysical Research117, D05116, doi:10.1029/2011JD016761.

Young, A.H., J.J. Bates, and J.A. Curry, 2012: Complementary use of passive and active remote sensing for detection of penetrating convection from CloudSat, CALIPSO, and Aqua MODIS. Journal of Geophysical Research117, D13205, doi:10.1029/2011JD016749.

Yu, Y., D. Tarpley, J.L. Privette, et al., 2012: Validation of GOES-R satellite land surface temperature algorithm using SURFRAD ground measurements and statistical estimates of error properties. IEEE Transactions on Geophysics and Remote Sensing, 50, 704–713, doi:10.1109/TGRS.2011.2162338.

Zhang, J., W. Zheng, and M.J. Menne, 2012: A Bayes factor model for detecting artificial discontinuities via pairwise comparison. Journal of Climate25, 8462–8474, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00052.1.

Zhao, X., 2012: Asian dust detection from the satellite imager of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Aerosol and Air Quality Research12, 1073–1080, doi:10.4209/aaqr.2011.11.0206.